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恒指期權 - 龍門陣 1912 X

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Max pain at 270 no changes ( a bit surprise though), Put/Call OI and Vol both above 1.3

Put key trading price point (per vol today) at 256 and 260
Call key trading price point (per vol today) at 270 and 274



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熱賣及精選
Seems tomorrow will retest 261 trend line.

Ideal case if can touch 258ish and quickly bounce back to trend line for range trading.
But If stay below 261/260, may "ultimately" hit 255 by the end of week.

[ 本帖最後由 巴士硬硬的P圖 於 2019-12-4 08:46 AM 編輯 ]



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Morning session struggled at 261.
MM may go to eat stop loss first +/- 100 tight range, and then decisively move out. By end of this week, I guess we may see 258 at least and 255 first before can see 265 again.



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Headline/rumors definitely add volatility, but not able to change the trend, which is driven by fundamentals.

Max pain changed from 270 to 268 today.
Put@260 & 256
Call@268 & 264
Per trading volume

Let MM surprise us all.



附件

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2019-12-4 09:24 PM

Dec OI

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2019-12-4 09:24 PM

Trending

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引用:
原帖由 柏垟 於 2019-11-29 07:26 AM 發表


十二月估大變動,高低波幅2700點以上。但係會否先升700,然後才去25000。還是反轉,先開落,然後抽上!
沒有波幅!  
HSIF: 26576
Range: 25200 ~ 28600
Delta: 0.1
Position: -6:1 / 1 :-5



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Cash Market high - low / open vs. close

2018 Dec 1900 down
2017 Dec 1800 up
2016 Dec 1500 down
2015 Dec 1500 down
2014 Dec 1600 down
2013 Dec 1400 down
2012 Dec 1000 up
2011 Dec 1400 down
2010 Dec 1200 up
2009 Dec 1600 up

2019 Dec 623 points(up) so far

If you are bullish, buy now till 270
If you are bearish, sell now till 256

And MM may satisfy you both. :-)

[ 本帖最後由 巴士硬硬的P圖 於 2019-12-9 12:41 PM 編輯 ]



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Consider holiday season, don't have much time left, think big movement shall come this week, either direction.

Trade, Fed, EU, brexit.. Latest next Mon shall see, need to fasten the belt.

[ 本帖最後由 巴士硬硬的P圖 於 2019-12-9 12:50 PM 編輯 ]



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Dec OI update. Max pain @ 268.  (Keep in mind 264~272 Max pain only 10% delta)

More Put OI accumulated at 254~256
More Call OI accumulated at 268~272



附件

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2019-12-9 05:15 PM

Dec OI 12/9

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👍🏿


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DEC 268 no changes today, very thin volume today.
Surprisingly seeing Jan option volume increase mainly put at 240~250.
Some players are betting a new year crash maybe.



引用:
原帖由 巴士硬硬的P圖 於 2019-12-10 05:41 PM 發表
DEC 268 no changes today, very thin volume today.
Surprisingly seeing Jan option volume increase mainly put at 240~250.
Some players are betting a new year crash maybe.
如果預期波幅5%,應該會系253~273.  現在還不知道方向!

今天也平短倉(SP)。 開LP256/SP252,大約30點一套。



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Dec OI and Daily chart update.
DT will make the final call, 1 more day.



附件

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2019-12-12 07:41 PM

Dec OI

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2019-12-12 07:41 PM

Dail

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